Miami Fall Forecast Calls for Hot, Rainy Conditions | Miami New Times
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New Miami Fall Forecast: What to Expect in South Florida?

Will warm weather stick around Miami this fall? Is there a break from the rain on the horizon?
The National Weather Service has released its climate predictions for late 2024 and early 2025.
The National Weather Service has released its climate predictions for late 2024 and early 2025. Photo by Ales Veluscek/Getty Images

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As Miamians inch toward Labor Day, the question always arises: When will the Saran Wrap-like atmosphere lift and bring the drier (relatively speaking) and cooler (relatively speaking) air of autumn? Well, the latest forecast is in, and the answer appears to be: not anytime soon.

The Climate Prediction Center of the National Weather Service (NWS) is giving us a heads-up that above-normal temperatures are forecast to stick around through the end of the year. So, those cute fall outfits? They might have to wait.

According to NWS's predictions, the Southeast is expected to experience above-normal temperatures through the rest of 2024, with elevated precipitation. The hotter weather aligns with typical trends of a La Niña winter, which tends to bring warmer-than-average temperatures to the region.
National Weather Service climate forecast for the United States
Warmer-than-average temperatures are forecasted across the Southeast, including Miami, from October through December 2024.
NWS Climate Prediction Center photo
The official word?

"Above-normal temperatures favored for the Southern Great Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast," the NWS seasonal forecast discussion says.

In simple terms, it's going to stay hot!

But don't sigh too loudly. Here's the good news: While September through November is forecast to be wetter than usual, the later months of the year will bring a potential reprieve. The early winter months might balance out the rain, and by the time November, December, and January roll around, the forecast leans toward below-average precipitation.
National Weather Service climate forecast for the United States
Below-average precipitation is expected for Miami and much of the Southeast from December 2024 through January 2025.
NWS Climate Prediction Center graphic
So, the moisture might dial down just in time for the holidays, and we could actually get a break from Miami's downpours. Yes, rocking that sleek, frizz-free hairstyle might be a possibility after all. 

"The likelihood of an active Atlantic hurricane season was the primary factor in favoring above-normal precipitation along the East Coast," NWS's forecast discussion highlights.

But hey, this is Miami, and we know how to roll with the heat. Instead of cozying up with hot cocoa, we can extend our beach days, keep our wardrobes breezy, and soak up the energy that only this tropical city can offer. Who needs scarves when you've got sunglasses to shield you from those endless rays, right?

For those dreaming of a classic fall season, just remember: Miami's version is all about staying hot, maybe a little less humid, and always unpredictable. Let's enjoy the ride because, with all this heat, Miami will keep things sizzling.

For more on the forecast, check out the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center
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